Group F at the 2018 Russia World Cup sees Germany, Sweden, South Korea and Mexico do battle. Read on for our Group F betting tips, odds and analysis.
Before we do that, now is a good time to bookmark our World Cup offers and tips hub. We’ll list all our tips there, plus the best free bets and enhanced odds. The World Cup is a HUGE betting event and we expect the bookies to really pull out all the stops when it comes to offers which should give us a great opportunity to make some cash. As well as our main offers post, we’ve also got details of all the England offers for the World Cup – we expect these to be plentiful.
Back to Group F and it will come as no real surprise to see that Germany are the clear favourites. They are priced at odds of 9/2 to actually win the World Cup with Coral and most other betting sites. Germany are the top ranked team in world football according to FIFA and they are also the defending champions. Throw in their formidable record in major tournaments – they have won the World Cup four times and the Euros thrice – and it is very easy to see why they are so fancied.
Can Mexico, Sweden or maybe even Korea spring a surprise though? All three are 100/1 bar in the outright WC winner market so clearly the bookies don’t think so but do we agree?
Group F World Cup Betting Tip
Germany/Sweden straight forecast – 5/2 with BetVictor
Preview, Analysis and Odds
Germany are second favourites to win the 2018 World Cup, with some bookies actually making them and Brazil joint favourites. They have sensational players in every area of the pitch but it is in midfield where they are especially impressive, with players such as Kroos, Khedira and Ozil the experienced hands alongside younger talents such as Sane, Draxler and Bayern-bound Leon Goretzka. Perhaps Germany’s greatest quality is their strength in depth and when they announce their squad many players who would walk into other national teams may well be disappointed.
The second favourites in the group are Mexico. Germany are 2/5 with Ladbrokes to win Group F and the Mexicans are 6/1 with BetVictor. Sweden are 13/2 and Korea are a distant 20/1. It’s simply impossible for us to see past the Germans topping the group. They tick all the right boxes, with a classy squad, plenty of experience, a manager who knows exactly what is needed and a culture that makes winning seem easy.
So, the big question in Group F is, who will join Germany in the last 16? We fancy a minor upset here, with Sweden our pick. They weren’t hugely impressive in just pipping Holland to second spot in UEFA qualifying Group A. They pushed France close for a while but ultimately fell well short but they were simply brilliant in the play-offs.
To get past Italy was a great achievement and tells you exactly what Sweden are all about. They are greater than the sum of their parts, have brilliant spirit and are very fit. Their away support in tournaments is also superb and might just give them the edge in what should be a close game with Mexico.
Sweden can be backed at odds of 5/4 with Ladbrokes to make the last 16, with or without Zlatan. Another option is to back Mexico to finish third at 2/1, although we don’t rule out the Koreans, which could make Mexico value to finish bottom at 9/2. However, given we’re supremely confident that Germany will top the group, we’re happy to go for a straight forecast of Germany/Sweden in Group F. 5/2 is a very tidy price in our eyes.
Key Fixtures in Group F
If we say that we think Germany are a shoe-in to win the group, the key fixtures, therefore, are ones involving the other sides. As said, we think the runner-up spot is most likely a straight battle between Mexico and Sweden. They play each other in the last game of the group, which will be the 44th fixture of the 2018 World Cup.
That game takes place in Yekaterinburg’s Central Stadium on the 27th June. There are four big games that day so it’s definitely one for the diary and in terms of this clash, Mexico are the favourites right now. The odds will, of course, change as the group takes place but as things stand we feel Sweden offer value at 11/5 with Unibet. The draw is priced at 23/10 with Betfair making Mexico 17/10 favourites.
Aside from that game, Mexico face Korea on the 23rd June in their second group game, whilst Sweden will hope to build momentum early by winning their opener against the Asian side on the 18th June.